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Exchange Rate Volatility, Financial Constraints and Trade: Empirical Evidence from Chinese Firms

机译:汇率波动,金融约束和贸易:来自中国企业的经验证据

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摘要

This paper studies how firm-level export performance is affected by Real Exchange Rate (RER) volatility and investigates whether this effect depends on existing financial constraints. Our empirical analysis relies on export data for more than 100,000 Chinese exporters over the 2000-2006 period. We confirm a trade-deterring effect of RER volatility. We find that the value exported by firms, as well as their probability of entering new export markets, decrease for destinations with a higher exchange rate volatility and that this effect is magnified for financially vulnerable firms. As expected, financial development seems to dampen this negative impact, especially on the intensive margin of export. These results provide micro-founded evidence that financial constraints may play a key role in determining the macro impact of RER volatility on real outcomes.
机译:本文研究了实际汇率(RER)波动对公司级出口绩效的影响,并研究了这种影响是否取决于现有的财务约束。我们的经验分析依赖于2000-2006年间超过100,000个中国出口商的出口数据。我们确认RER波动具有贸易抑制作用。我们发现,对于汇率波动较大的目的地,企业出口的价值及其进入新的出口市场的可能性会降低,而对财务脆弱的企业而言,这种影响会放大。正如预期的那样,金融发展似乎正在抑制这种负面影响,尤其是对出口密集型产品的影响。这些结果提供了微观依据的证据,即财务约束可能在确定RER波动性对实际结果的宏观影响中起关键作用。

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